The Winning Bet

Leading up to the release of Professor Joe DiMasi’s latest study of the cost of drug development, KEI offered $50 to the individual who could most accurately predict the new cost for drug R&D.

We received 26 guesses, ranging from $1.157 billion to $5 billion.

Joel Lexchin’s estimate ($2.47 billion) was the closest to DiMasi’s number ($2.558 billion). It was also the 5th largest estimate.

A complete list of submissions is below.

Name & Guess
Charles Clift – 1.157 billion
Nicole H – 1.2 billion
Ronald Rader – 1.55 billion
Wouter Deelder – 1.655 billion
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